Leverage shifts · Iran deal · chokepoints
Overnight leverage shifts · US-Iran deal tracker · Chokepoint status · Live power balance
Gainers
10
Countries gained leverage
Losers
10
Countries lost leverage
Deal Momentum
42/100
US-Iran deal signal
Hormuz
Monitored
Strait of Hormuz status
Countries that shifted the balance in their favour across chokepoints, reserves, alliance moves, industrial deps, and military posture.
OPEC+ output discipline holding; sovereign reserves at 11-year high; Washington security umbrella reaffirmed.
Discounted Russian oil arbitrage funding military modernisation; strategic autonomy positioning paying dividends.
Bosphorus leverage + NATO hedging + Gulf mediation role giving Ankara outsized diplomatic weight.
LNG spot contracts surging as Europe reduces Russia dependency; mediation role in Iran talks via Oman channel.
European gas supplier of last resort; highest per-capita defence spending increase in NATO.
Arms exports surge on European demand; semiconductor dominance deepening vs China restrictions.
Post-Abraham Accords dividend; F-35 block lifted; free zone finance hub absorbing Russia-displaced capital.
Largest NATO army in Europe outside US; EU Council Presidency; forward deterrence hub.
Post-pacifist pivot; counterstrike capability acquisition; chip export controls aligned with US.
EU defence autonomy architect; Rafale exports accelerating; nuclear deterrent the only EU strategic weapon.
Countries whose strategic position deteriorated across key power dimensions in the last 24 hours.
War economy straining; sanction evasion costs rising; military attrition reaching systemic limits.
Nuclear deal uncertainty paralyzing investment; proxy network under pressure; economy near crisis.
Industrial model under structural pressure; political fragility post-election; NATO spending lag closing slowly.
Tariff shock + property crisis + Taiwan Strait deterrence costs compounding simultaneously.
IMF programme on the edge; civil-military tension; Islamabad hosting Iran talks strains US relationship.
Houthi adventurism inviting intensified US/UK strikes; legitimate government territory shrinking.
Sahel expulsion completing; domestic pension/immigration crisis draining political capital.
Junta losing territory to resistance; supply chain investment fleeing to Vietnam/Thailand.
Artillery shell exports to Russia burning stockpiles; soldiers deployed and taking casualties.
Fully absorbed as Russian logistics dependency; economy decoupling from West complete.
Power rankings built from live signals: IMF / World Bank news feeds, WTO trade updates, Defense News Global, Foreign Policy, ECFR, OilPrice, EIA, and UN Peace & Security RSS. Country intelligence enriched with curated static analysis updated at build time.