500-Day Monitor Progress
Baseline: Mar 13, 2026 → End: Aug 25, 2027
6-Month Legislative Activity
Updates per topic per month
Impact Distribution
All 26 updates
Risk Radar
Current vs baseline
Active Alerts & Risk Score by Topic
Alert count (bars) · Risk index (bar width)
Risk Index by Topic
| Topic | Risk Level | Current Score | Baseline | Delta | Trend | Alerts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MFF 2028–2034 | CRITICAL | 9.1/10 | 7.8 | +1.3 | escalating | 7 |
Ukraine | CRITICAL | 8.8/10 | 7.9 | +0.9 | escalating | 6 |
Migration Pact | CRITICAL | 8.6/10 | 7.4 | +1.2 | escalating | 8 |
Enlargement | HIGH | 8.3/10 | 6.9 | +1.4 | escalating | 6 |
Greenland | HIGH | 8.1/10 | 5.5 | +2.6 | escalating | 5 |
AI Act | HIGH | 7.9/10 | 6.2 | +1.7 | escalating | 6 |
EU–China | HIGH | 7.8/10 | 6.7 | +1.1 | escalating | 5 |
Climate 2040 | HIGH | 7.7/10 | 6.8 | +0.9 | stable | 4 |
EU Defence | HIGH | 7.6/10 | 6.1 | +1.5 | escalating | 5 |
Competitiveness | HIGH | 7.4/10 | 6.3 | +1.1 | escalating | 5 |
Mercosur | HIGH | 7.2/10 | 6.5 | +0.7 | escalating | 4 |
CRMA | MEDIUM | 6.9/10 | 5.7 | +1.2 | escalating | 4 |
Digital Sovereignty | MEDIUM | 6.8/10 | 5.9 | +0.9 | stable | 3 |
SGP Reform | MEDIUM | 6.7/10 | 5.8 | +0.9 | escalating | 4 |
Rule of Law | MEDIUM | 6.5/10 | 6.0 | +0.5 | stable | 3 |
Omnibus Package | MEDIUM | 6.2/10 | 5.4 | +0.8 | stable | 2 |
VdL Powers | MEDIUM | 5.8/10 | 5.2 | +0.6 | stable | 3 |
Watch Signal Status
Safeguard Regulation published by Commission
French National Assembly resolution vote
Legal scrubbing completion announced
European Parliament INTA committee report
Brazil/Argentina policy shift on environment
Austria or Poland flip position
Greenland independence referendum announced
US bilateral minerals deal with Greenland signed
EU–Greenland minerals MOU signed
NATO Article 5 statement on Greenland sovereignty
First EU representative office operational in Nuuk
Ceasefire agreement signed
Hungary blocks EPF Tranche 11
US formally withdraws from Ukraine military support
First accession chapter provisionally closed
Q5 Ukraine Facility tranche released
Russian asset seizure (full) legally cleared
SAFE Regulation final trilogue deal
First SAFE loan disbursement
NATO 2.5% GDP spending commitment implementation
EU–UK defence cooperation agreement
Major European defence industry consolidation
2040 Climate Target EP plenary vote
Omnibus II simplification package adopted
Commission infringement vs Hungary/Poland (Migration)
Rule of Law mechanism Article 7 hearing
Capital Markets Union package vote
ECOFIN General Approach achieved
EP Budget Committee opinion vote
Net contributor states bloc position
Own resources decision proposal
Member state market surveillance authorities designated
GPAI code of practice finalized
First AI Act enforcement action
AI Office staffing complete
Commission infringement proceedings launched
Hungary/Poland formal non-compliance
First solidarity mechanism activation
Frontex operational capacity target met
Automotive Package trilogue deal
28th regime (EU Inc.) proposal published
Critical Medicines Act adopted
Capital Markets Union package vote
First Ukraine accession chapter closed
Montenegro accession target date announced
EU institutional reform proposal
Serbia-Kosovo normalization breakthrough
EP ENVI Committee vote on 2040 target
Council General Approach finalized
Industry coalition position shift
Carbon capture technology certification
Digital Networks Act proposal published
Data Act first enforcement action
EU Chips Act implementation review
EP IMCO opinion vote
Green/Left coalition counter-proposal
Strategic projects list published
EU–Greenland minerals MOU signed
First CRMA strategic project approved
Hungary Article 7 hearing
ECJ ruling on conditionality mechanism
Poland compliance assessment
Commission excessive deficit procedure
SAFE Regulation final deal
ECB monetary policy shift
China WTO dispute settlement case filed
Chinese retaliation on EU exports
EU–China investment agreement talks resume
Foreign subsidies regulation first enforcement